Monday, September 19, 2011

Hypo Venture Capital Headlines: Is the global economy back on an even keel?

http://hypoventurecapital-headlines.com/2011/06/hypo-venture-capital-headlines-is-the-global-economy-back-on-an-even-keel/


Day rates for the movement of goods around the world hit their peak in early 2008, a few months before the global financial crisis. Which direction are these same prices heading in now, and can the shipping industry help predict the direction of the global economy?

Munshi Ahmed / Bloomberg
A port in Singapore. Around 90 per cent of all the world's goods are transported by sea, meaning that when economic activity is strong, the shipping industry is buoyant.
A port in Singapore. Around 90 per cent of all the world’s goods are transported by sea, meaning that when economic activity is strong, the shipping industry is buoyant.

Bloomberg
Khalifa Industrial Zone Abu Dhabi, which is being constructed between Abu Dhabi and Dubai, is one of the largest infrastructure projects in the world.
Khalifa Industrial Zone Abu Dhabi, which is being constructed between Abu Dhabi and Dubai, is one of the largest infrastructure projects in the world.

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Hypo Venture Capital Zurich Headlines: World markets tumble on renewed US recession fears

http://hypoventurecapital-news.com/category/financial/


Amid the uncertainty, traders pulled out of any risky investments — such as stocks, particularly financial ones, the euro and emerging market currencies — to pile into safe havens: U.S. Treasurys, the dollar, the Japanese yen and gold.
European shares slumped in early trading. Britain’s FTSE 100 dropped 2.9 percent to 5,136.36. Germany’s DAX fell 4.7 percent to 5,280.13, and France’s CAC-40 tumbled 4.6 percent to 3,003.64.
Markets in the U.S. were closed for the Labor Day holiday.
Banking stocks were among the hardest hit after the U.S. government sued 17 financial firms Friday for selling Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac billions of dollars worth of mortgage-backed securities that turned toxic when the housing market collapsed.
Among those targeted by the lawsuits were Bank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs. Large European banks including The Royal Bank of Scotland, Barclays Bank and Credit Suisse were also sued.
Renewed jitters over the eurozone debt crisis also contributed to the slump in financial stocks amid concerns they would need to raise new capital. Deutsche Bank was down 9.4 percent in Frankfurt while Societe Generale in Paris shed 9 percent.
An international debt inspectors’ review of Greece’s finances was interrupted Friday amid disagreements over the country’s deficit figures. The review will be resumed in about 10 days and must be completed in order for the country
to receive its bailout loans at the end of the month.

Signs that the Italian government’s commitment to its austerity program is wavering have also shaken investors. Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s government has backtracked on some deficit-cutting measures, prompting EU economic officials to urge it to stick to its promised plan.
The economic indicators, meanwhile, were mostly downbeat. Although retail sales in the eurozone rose unexpectedly in July, a survey of the services sector showed a slowdown across the continent for the fifth consecutive month.
The Purchasing Managers’ Index for the eurozone showed the services sector was still growing — unlike the manufacturing sector — but only barely. That will add pressure on the European Central Bank to keep interest rates on hold when it meets this week.

Hypo Venture Capital Headlines: Forget in-depth financial analysis- Now even Wall Street is turning to Twitter for clues on the stock market

http://hypoventurecapital-financialideas.com/2011/05/hypo-venture-capital-headlines-forget-in-depth-financial-analysis-now-even-wall-street-is-turning-to-twitter-for-clues-on-the-stock-market/


Twitter may have finally found a real way to make money.
For years, analysts have predicted that the real value of the social networking service doesn’t lie in serving advertising to users, but rather in serving up millions of points of real-time data to anyone who can wring useful intelligence out of it.
A new paper published by an Indiana University professor, combined with recent practices on Wall Street, suggest that Twitter may be a goldmine of valuable financial information.
Selecting Twitter app on iPhone
Power to the people: A professor’s analysis of Tweets proved 87 per cent accurate in predicting stock prices
A stock broker studying computer generated financial chart
Data: Social services like Twitter may prove invaluable when it comes to real-time financial information
Johan Bollen, a professor of informatics at Indiana, co-authored a study that linked a computerized assessment of the ‘mood’ of millions of Twitter posts with stock marketperformance.
Mr Bollen’s analysis of Tweets was said to have an 87 per cent chance of successfully predicting stock prices within three or four days of online discussion of the company in question.

More…

  • Clueless teenagers flood search engines to ask: ‘Who is Osama Bin Laden?’
  • ‘I deleted my Twitter, y’all’: Miley Cyrus makes home rap video to explain why she left the social networking site
To reach his conclusion, Mr Bollen analyzed a total of 9.6 million tweets over nine months in 2008, using two mood-tracking tools.
One program assessed whether a tweet about a particular company was positive or negative, while the other tried to drill down further and categorize tweets through six modifiers: calm, alert, sure, vital, kind and happy.

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Hypo Venture Capital Zurich Management: News Corp. Swaps Diverge as S&P Considers Cut: Corporate Finance

http://hypoventurecapital-financialideas.com/2011/07/hypo-venture-capital-zurich-management-news-corp-swaps-diverge-as-sp-considers-cut-corporate-finance/


The cost of protecting debt of the owner of the Fox TV networks and the Wall Street Journal from default soared 58 basis points this month to 142 basis points as of yesterday, compared with an increase of 10 basis points for the average contract on Rupert Murdoch’s company and its four biggest competitors. Relative yields on News Corp.’s bonds have risen 31 basis points, while those of similar companies widened one basis point, Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data show.
S&P said in a statement it may lower New York-based News Corp. (NWSA)’s BBB+ corporate credit rating after “broadening legal inquires” into the phone-hacking scandal centering on the defunct News of the World newspaper “increased business and reputation risks” for the media company. The review came just five days after the ratings company said the outlook was stable.
“The court of public opinion can be fairly merciless, and that’s the bigger headwind now,” Tom Farina, managing director at Deutsche Insurance Asset Management in New York, which oversees $200 billion, said in a telephone interview. While News Corp. may not see “direct financial ramifications,” the reputational damage is the larger risk, Farina said.

Most on Record

Credit-default swaps on its News America Inc. unit are the highest on record, compared with the average contract on the debt of competitors. Swaps on News Corp., Walt Disney Co. (DIS), Time Warner Inc.,Comcast Corp. (CMCSA), and Viacom Inc. (VIA/B) climbed to 79 basis points from as low as 54 basis points in December, according to CMA, which is owned by CME Group Inc. and compiles prices quoted by dealers in the privately negotiated market.

Thursday, August 11, 2011

Hypo Venture Capital Headlines: Bank capital fight spills into U.S. Congress

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(Reuters) – The fight by big banks against higher capital standards came to the Congress on Thursday where Republicans held a hearing to air Wall Street concerns about regulation and its impact on profits.

Little more than two years since taxpayer bailouts were needed to firm up banks’ flimsy balance sheets, governments on both sides of the Atlantic are moving to force the banks to hold more capital and be better prepared for future crises.

Banks are resisting, however, and remarks made at a U.S. House of Representatives hearing showed they have support among many Republicans and some Democrats, with the 2007-2009 credit crisis growing fainter in the rear-view mirror.

Hypo Venture Capital Headlines: Bank capital fight spills into U.S. Congress

http://hypoventure-capital.com/2011/06/hypo-venture-capital-headlines-bank-capital-fight-spills-into-u-s-congress/


Reuters) – The fight by big banks against higher capital standards came to the Congress on Thursday where Republicans held a hearing to air Wall Street concerns about regulation and its impact on profits.
Little more than two years since taxpayer bailouts were needed to firm up banks’ flimsy balance sheets, governments on both sides of the Atlantic are moving to force the banks to hold more capital and be better prepared for future crises.
Banks are resisting, however, and remarks made at a U.S. House of Representatives hearing showed they have support among many Republicans and some Democrats, with the 2007-2009 credit crisis growing fainter in the rear-view mirror.
Citing concerns about international competitiveness and the availability of credit in a fragile economy, JPMorgan Chase Chief Risk Officer Barry Zubrow told lawmakers: “The regulatory pendulum clearly has now begun to swing to a point that risks hobbling our financial system and our economic growth.”
Final decisions on new global bank capital standards are still months away. The standards are being developed through the Basel III process being coordinated by the Financial Stability Board, an international body based in Switzerland.
The United States is committed to full implementation of the Basel III accords, once they are finalized, both “at home and abroad,” U.S. Treasury Undersecretary for International Affairs Lael Brainard told the House Financial Services Committee.
She added that it was important to make sure that capital rules be internationally consistent.
Similarly, Federal Reserve Governor Daniel Tarullo said the Fed is seeking alignment of the Basel III capital rules with those imposed in the United States under last year’s Dodd-Frank financial oversight law.
At a minimum, under the Basel pact, banks will have to hold top-quality capital equal to 7 percent of their risk-bearing assets. Analysts expect the largest financial institutions to have to hold additional capital of about 3 percent.
Financial industry officials also complained at the hearing that new derivatives rules under Dodd-Frank will put U.S. firms at a disadvantage because other countries have yet to implement their own strict standards.
Regulators said they are also pushing for derivatives rules to be implemented internationally. Brainard said she visited London and Frankfurt in the last two weeks to make the case for an international agreement on margin standards for derivative trades that do not go through a clearinghouse.
ECONOMIC CONCERN
John Walsh, a top U.S. banking regulator, expressed concerns at the hearing similar to those raised recently by large banks, which fear that higher capital requirements will crimp their lending and reduce their profits.
“Attempting to wring risk out of the banking system through the device of high capital requirements must be weighed against the costs … and potentially lower economic growth,” Walsh told the House hearing.
Walsh is acting U.S. Comptroller of the Currency. He said his agency supports requiring large banks to hold a “moderate” amount of additional capital.
A witness for the union movement urged regulators to resist calls to relax their stance.
“Deregulatory whipsawing of the kind recommended today by my fellow witnesses may temporarily increase some bank profits. But the price will be another cycle of economic crisis and job loss,” said Damon Silvers, associate general counsel of the AFL-CIO labor group.
The Dodd-Frank banking reforms approved last year required the Federal Reserve to come up with capital requirements for banks with more than $50 billion in assets and for other large financial firms deemed important to the smooth functioning of financial markets and tapped for stricter Fed supervision.
World regulators, as part of the Basel III process, are deciding how much of an added buffer to impose on the largest, most internationally active banks.
The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, an industry lobbying group, “disagrees with the discussion underway by the Financial Stability Board which would impose an additional capital charge for globally systemically important financial institutions,” said SIFMA President Tim Ryan in remarks prepared for the hearing.
BACHUS: DON’T OVER-REGULATE
“If we over-regulate and ignore the plans of the rest of the world, then I fear we will push capital, industry and jobs right out of our country,” Republican Representative Spencer Bachus, chairman of the committee, said at the hearing.
Earlier this month, Tarullo got the banks’ attention when he said the Fed might require the largest banks to hold between 8 percent to 14 percent in total capital. He backed away from that on Thursday.
He said the range was what different studies had produced, not necessarily what would be adopted.

    Hypo Venture Capital Headlines:Israel’s Fischer interested in IMF job

    http://hypoventurecapital-news.com/2011/06/hypo-venture-capital-headlinesisraels-fischer-interested-in-imf-job/


    JERUSALEM — Israel’s central bank chief, Stanley Fischer, is interested in the top job at the International Monetary Fund and has received a number of phone calls in recent days from around the world encouraging him to apply, a person familiar with the banker’s thinking told The Associated Press on Sunday.
    The person said Fischer has not decided whether to pursue the job and has no desire to leave his current post, but would have a hard time saying no to the IMF. “If the opportunity comes along, he will take it,” said the person.
    He spoke on condition of anonymity because Fischer is still weighing his options. He said he expects Fischer to make a decision within the next two weeks.
    Fischer, an internationally respected economist, held the No. 2 position at the IMF during the 1990s and is well acquainted with the workings of the fund.
    Born in Zambia and educated at the London School of Economics and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, he also has held top jobs at the World Bank and at Citigroup Corp.
    Fischer came to Israel in 2005 to take the post of governor of the Bank of Israel. He has been widely credited with enabling the country to largely escape the global economic crisis. Unemployment in Israel is just over 6 percent, and the real estate sector is booming.
    Last year, he was appointed to a second five-year term.
    Fischer has received phone calls from top IMF officials and officials from major finance ministries around the world encouraging him to seek the post, the person said. He refused to identify the countries or officials.
    The post has traditionally gone to a European, and French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde has emerged as the front-runner. Developing nations have argued that someone from another region should be considered.
    The IMF’s last director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, quit this month after he was accused of attempting to rape a New York hotel maid.